I’ll say it: Sometimes I get it wrong. Or not quite right. Which is almost the same thing.
In case you’ve missed it, today’s news is that Valentina Terehskova, a United Russia Duma Deputy and the first woman in space, proposed ‘resetting’ Putin’s presidential terms, allowing him to run again. The Speaker of the Duma called Putin. Putin said ok. And that was that.
If I might be allowed to be an activist for a moment, rather than an academic, I’d like to tell you a story.
In September 2011, when I was living in Moscow, I went to meet a friend and colleague — a Russian academic at a major Moscow university — just to catch up, and to talk about some research we might do together.
When I walked into her office, the look on her face was one of despair. Quiet, composed and dignified — but emotionally and morally eviscerated. I did not have to ask her why.
It’s been a while since a major Putin policy address has been anything other than boring. Not today. Today, Putin proposed a radical reshaping of Russia’s political system.
For the latest another addition to my (very long) list of reasons why the community of international relations scholars who call themselves realists should be banned from using the term, see (if you have the stomach) Tom Graham’s latest foray in Foreign Affairs. If you don’t have access to the journal, you can get the gist of the idea from Serhiy Kudelia’s Facebook post below:
Watching Bill Barr rail against an “unremitting assault” by “secularists and their allies”, or Trump rage that “Democrats want to rip babies from their mother’s wombs“, what bothers me is not Barr and Trump. It’s the millions of people – at rallies or at home – nodding along.
By most accounts, United Russia is finished.
I suppose that’s not surprising, given that it was never really expected to last even this long. Cobbled together in 2001 through the merger of the Unity and Fatherland All Russia Parties — which themselves had been cobbled together by various Kremlin factions only a few years earlier — United Russia won its first Duma elections in 2003. Prior to 2007, no other ‘Party of Power’ in Russia had survived to contest two consecutive Duma elections. It has been the dominant force in Russian politics ever since, enjoying the unfaltering support of the Kremlin.
But not any more. While Putin’s own ratings have barely been touched by five years of economic hardship, the same cannot be said for United Russia. Widely seen as the ‘Party of Swindlers and Thieves‘ — a monicker promoted by opposition leader Alexei Navalny — United Russia has scraped by on a combination of electoral manipulation and ‘administrative resource’. But the final indignity came in yesterday’s regional elections, as Kremlin-backed candidates throughout the country were forced to run as independents, to avoid the stench emanating from the ostensibly ruling party. And even that didn’t help very much.